Population Division - 2019

Workshop on population estimates and projections for Namibia

Anonymous — Fri, 18 Dec 2020 19:30:00 +0000

Monday, 05 August 2019 - 9:00pm to Friday, 09 August 2019 - 5:00pm

Overview

Technical staff from the Namibia Statistics Agency, government line ministries (Planning, Education, Health, and Immigration), and researchers from higher education institutions were trained in methods for assessing the quality of demographic statistics, projecting the national population, and projecting sub-national (regional) populations.

Organization of work

Monday, 5 August 2019
9 am - 5 pm	Opening Namibia Statistical Agency Population Division, DESA Session 1. Introduction Tim Miller, Global Adviser on Population and Development, Population Division, DESA 1.1 Why do we need population projections? 1.2 Three methods for population projections 1.3 The basic accounting identity of demography 1.4 The Lexis diagram 1.5 The cohort component projection method 1.6 Training exercise: Lexis diagrams 1.7 How accurate are population projections? Session 2. Establishing the starting population Yumiko Kamiya, Population Division, DESA 2.1 Detecting anomalies in the age/sex distribution of the population 2.2 Age pyramids 2.3 Consistency tests: age ratios, sex ratios 2.4 Observing cohorts in successive censuses 2.5 Adjusting population counts when establishing the starting population 2.6 Transfer the population to midyear 2.7 Training exercise: Preparing the starting population
Tuesday, 6 August 2019
9 am - 5 pm	Session 3. Mortality component Tim Miller, Global Adviser on Population and Development, Population Division, DESA 3.1 Data sources and methods 3.2 Infant and child mortality 3.3 Adult mortality 3.4 The life table 3.5 The model life table 3.6 A note on HIV/AIDS mortality 3.7 Training exercise: Constructing a life table 3.8 Projection of future mortality trends: levels and patterns 3.9 Training exercise: Mortality assumptions for Namibia
Wednesday, 7 August
9 am - 5 pm	Session 4. Fertility component Yumiko Kamiya, Population Division, DESA 4.1 Data sources 4.2 Measures of fertility 4.3 Cohort vs. period fertility 4.4 Method of analysis 4.5 Training exercise: Estimating fertility in the starting population 4.6 The fertility transition 4.7 Ultimate fertility levels and transition to ultimate levels 4.8 The changing age pattern of fertility 4.9 Training exercise: Fertility assumptions for Namibia Session 5. Migration component Tim Miller, Global Adviser on Population and Development, Population Division, DESA 5.1 Data sources 5.2 Analysis of past migration trends: levels and age patterns 5.3 Modeling the age pattern of migration: family vs labor migration. 5.4 Projection of future migration trends 5.5 Training exercise: Migration assumptions for Namibia
Thursday, 8 August 2019
9 am - 5 pm	Session 6. National population projections Tim Miller, Global Adviser on Population and Development, Population Division, DESA 6.1 The components of the cohort component projection method 6.2 Detailed procedures for making population projections using the DAPPS software 6.3 Examining graphs and tables in DAPPS 6.4 Training exercise: A population projection for Namibia 6.5 How to design integrated scenarios 6.6 Training exercise: Integrated scenarios for Namibia
Friday, 9 August 2019
9 am - 5 pm	Session 7. Subnational population projections Tim Miller, Global Adviser on Population and Development, Population Division, DESA 7.1 Subnational components 7.2 Interregional migration 7.3 Insuring consistency with national projections 7.4 The Feeney method 7.5 Iterative proportional fitting 7.6 Detailed procedures for making subnational projections using software 7.7 Training exercise: Subnational population projections for Namibia Session 8. Population projections: presentation and use Yumiko Kamiya, Population Division, DESA 8.1 How to present population data 8.2 Quantifying projection uncertainty 8.3 Using population projections for development planning Closing Namibian Statistics Agency

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Capacity Development

Workshop on measuring population ageing and assessing its economic and fiscal consequences

Anonymous — Fri, 18 Dec 2020 15:45:00 +0000

Monday, 01 July 2019 - 9:00am

Overview

At the request of the Indonesian Ministry of National Development Planning and with financial support of UNFPA-Indonesia, the Population Division conducted a national seminar on population ageing and its economic and fiscal consequences in Jakarta, Indonesia on 1 July. Participants in attendance were from the Ministry of Development Planning, National Team for the Acceleration of Poverty Reduction (TNP2K), Ministry of Health, Ministry of Labor, Ministry of Finance, Social Security Agency for Healthcare, Social Security Agency for Workers, the Central Bureau of Statistics, National Population and Family Planning Board, and local universities. The seminar discussed the impact of changing age structure on economic growth as well as the challenges in “future-proofing” social programs (education, health care, and pensions) to insure their sustainability in an older and wealthier Indonesia.

Organization of work

1 July 2019
9:00-10:0	1. Welcome and course introduction.
10:30-11:15	2. Population ageing in Asia-Pacific: challenges, opportunities, and the need for projections.
11:15-12:00	3. New demographic measure of ageing. Calculation of demographic measures of aging: chronological age, thanatological age, and prospective age.
13.30-14:30	4. Scenario forecasts to assess policy responses to population ageing.
14.30-15.00	5. Forecasting the consequences of population ageing for public financing of education and pensions.
15:30-17:00	6. Forecasting the consequences of population ageing for public financing of health care.

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National workshop on population projections

Anonymous — Thu, 17 Dec 2020 15:16:00 +0000

Monday, 20 May 2019 - 9:00am to Friday, 24 May 2019 - 5:00pm

Overview

The Population Division organized a training workshop to improve national capacity in population projections. The workshop was held at GEOSTAT (National Statistics Office of Georgia) in Tbilisi, Georgia, from 20 to 24 May 2019. Participants were trained in methods and software (DAPPS) for national and sub-national population projections.

Organization of work

20 May 2019
9 am – 5 pm	Opening GEOSTAT Tim Miller, Global Adviser on Population and Development, Population Division, DESA and Thomas Spoorenberg, Population Division, DESA Session 1. Introduction Tim Miller, Global Adviser on Population and Development, Population Division, DESA 1.1 Why do we need population projections? 1.2 Why are we bad at making them? 1.3 The basic accounting identity of demography 1.4 The Lexis diagram 1.5 The cohort component projection method 1.6 Training exercise: Lexis diagrams Session 2. Establishing the starting population Thomas Spoorenberg, Population Division, DESA 2.1 Evaluate the quality of the data 2.2 Deficient and incomplete data: methods for correction 2.3 Transfer the population to midyear 2.4 Training exercise: Preparing the starting population
21 May 2019
9 am – 5 pm	Session 3. Fertility component Thomas Spoorenberg, Population Division DESA 3.1 Analysis of past fertility trends: levels and age patterns 3.2 Training exercise: Baseline fertility data for Georgia 3.3 Projection of future fertility trends 3.4 Training exercise: Fertility assumptions for Georgia Session 4. Mortality component Tim Miller, Global Adviser on Population and Development, Population Division, DESA 4.1 The life table 4.2 Assessing the completeness of register data 4.3 Training exercise: Constructing a life table 4.4 Projection of future mortality trends 4.5 Training exercise: Mortality assumptions for Georgia
22 May 2019
9 am – 5 pm	Session 5. Migration component Thomas Spoorenbeg, Population Division, DESA 5.1 Analysis of past migration trends: levels and age patterns 5.2 Training exercise: Baseline migration data for Georgia 5.3 Projection of future migration trends 5.4 Training exercise: Migration assumptions for Georgia Session 6. National population projections Tim Miller, Global Adviser on Population and Development, Population Division, DESA 6.1 The components of the cohort component projection method 6.2 Detailed procedures for making population projections using the DAPPS software 6.3 Examining graphs and tables in DAPPS 6.4 Training exercise: A population projection for Georgia 6.5 How to design integrated scenarios 6.6 Training exercise: Integrated scenarios for Georgia
23 May 2019
9 am – 5 pm	Session 7. Subnational population projections Tim Miller, Global Adviser on Population and Development, Population Division, DESA and Thomas Spoorenberg, Population Division, DESA 7.1 Subnational components 7.2 Interregional migration 7.3 Insuring consistency with national projections 7.4 The Feeney method 7.5 Iterative proportional fitting 7.6 Detailed procedures for making subnational projections using software 7.7 Training exercise: Subnational population projections for Georgia
24 May 2019
9 am – 5 pm	Session 8. Innovations in data visualization methods Tim Miller, Global Adviser on Population and Development, Population Division, DESA and Thomas Spoorenberg, Population Division, DESA 8.1 How to present population results 8.2 Using indicators: population ageing 8.3 Quantifying projection uncertainty thru probability fans 8.4 3-D visualizations: R, 3D printing, and AR 8.5 Training exercise Session 9. Conclusions and final discussion Closing GEOSTAT

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Latin America and the Caribbean workshop on assessing the economic and fiscal consequences of population ageing

DCULPEPP — Thu, 29 Oct 2020 18:42:00 +0000

Monday, 09 September 2019 - 9:15am to Wednesday, 11 September 2019 - 5:15pm

Overview

Achievement of an inclusive economic development that leaves no one behind requires good investment and good planning. Because achieving the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) by 2030 also means ensuring their sustainability beyond 2030, training in the use of long-run population, economic, and fiscal forecasts is an important component of capacity development as envisioned by Madrid International Plan of Action on Ageing.

In this context, the Population Division of DESA and ECLAC organized the Latin American and Caribbean Workshop Assessing the Economic and Fiscal Consequences of Population Ageing, held at ECLAC in Santiago from 9 to 11 September 2019.

While population ageing will be one of the most important forces shaping the outcome of social and economic policy in the coming decades in the Latin America and Caribbean region, it is not always explicitly included in policy discussions. Because its influence is difficult to discern in the short run, a myopic policy focus inevitably results in delays in addressing mounting challenges such as population ageing, climate change, non-communicable disease and environmental degradation.

The Workshop trained participants from national statistical offices, ministries in the planning, economic and social sectors, and research institutions in the use medium- and long-run economic and fiscal forecasts to address the cost, equity, and sustainability of development policies and programmes.

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Latin America training workshop on assessing the economic and fiscal consequences of the aging population

DCULPEPP — Wed, 28 Oct 2020 19:57:00 +0000

Monday, 25 November 2019 - 9:15am to Wednesday, 27 November 2019 - 5:15pm

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World Population Prospects 2019

MSTOCKTO — Thu, 06 Feb 2020 21:32:00 +0000

wpp2019_highlights_cover.jpg

World Population Prospects 2019 - Highlights Cover Image

The 2019 revision of the World Population Prospects is the twenty-sixth edition of the official 51�Թ� population estimates and projections. It presents population estimates from 1950 to the present for 235 countries or areas, underpinned by analyses of historical demographic trends. The 2019 revision also presents population projections to the year 2100 that reflect a range of plausible outcomes at the global, regional and country levels.

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First Column

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/development/desa/pd/sites/www.un.org.development.desa.pd/file…

Workshop on measuring population ageing and assessing its economic and fiscal consequences in Asia-Pacific

YXU42 — Tue, 14 Jan 2020 20:18:00 +0000

Monday, 24 June 2019 - 10:00am to Thursday, 27 June 2019 - 3:00pm

Overview

Integrating population and development strategies into planning and decision-making is a key objective of the Programme of Action of the International Conference on Population and Development (ICPD). It is also an important area of work of the 51�Թ� Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs (DESA) and the 51�Թ� Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific (ESCAP) in support of Member States.

Achievement of an inclusive economic development that leaves no one behind requires good investment and good planning. Because achieving the SDGs by 2030 also means insuring their sustainability beyond 2030, training in the use of long-run population, economic, and fiscal forecasts is an important component of capacity development as envisioned by Madrid International Plan of Action on Ageing.

In this context, the Population Division of DESA and ESCAP are organizing the Asia-Pacific Workshop on Measuring Population Ageing and Assessing its Economic and Fiscal Consequences, to be held at the 51�Թ� Conference Centre in Bangkok from 24 to 27 June 2019.

The Workshop recognizes that population ageing will be one of the most important forces shaping the outcome of social and economic policy in the coming decades in the Asian and Pacific region, yet it is not always explicitly included in policy discussions. Because its influence is difficult to discern in the short-run, a myopic policy focus inevitably results in delays in addressing mounting challenges such as population ageing, climate change, non-communicable disease and environmental degradation.

Objective

The Workshop objective is to introduce (a) new measures of population ageing that reflect the emerging demographic landscape of the Asian and Pacific region, and (b) innovative methods for assessing the medium- and long-run economic and fiscal impacts of population ageing.

The Workshop is intended for government officials and national professionals (demographers, statisticians, economists and others) involved in envisioning national futures via population, economic, fiscal or budgetary forecasts. It is expected that participants will be informed on the use of population projections for economic and fiscal planning and thereby ensure long-term sustainable development.

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Commemoration of the twenty-fifth anniversary of the International Conference on Population and Development

MSTOCKTO — Mon, 06 Jan 2020 18:40:00 +0000

Tuesday, 16 July 2019 - 3:00pm

Overview

Under agenda item 14 ("Integrated and coordinated implementation of the follow-up to the outcomes of the major 51�Թ� conferences and summits in the economic, social and related fields"), the General Assembly, at its seventy-third session, will mark the twenty-fifth anniversary of the International Conference on Population and Development (ICPD) at a high-level plenary meeting on 16 July 2019 from 3 to 6 p.m. The meeting will be held in the General Assembly Hall.

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Expert group meeting on population, food security, nutrition and sustainable development

MSTOCKTO — Mon, 06 Jan 2020 17:23:00 +0000

Monday, 16 September 2019 - 10:00am to Tuesday, 17 September 2019 - 6:00pm

Overview

The question of how to feed a growing global population has been central to discussions around population and development for decades. While the Programme of Action of the 1994 International Conference on Population and Development highlighted the problem of undernutrition, today's discussion of malnutrition is broader and includes stunting, wasting, overweight and obesity, as well as micronutrient deficiencies. Moreover, there is an increasing recognition of the challenges to food security posed by factors such as climate change, conflict and economic downturns.

Recognizing the importance and timeliness of these topics, the 51�Թ� Commission on Population and Development decided in 2018 that the thematic focus of its fifty-third session in 2020 would be "Population, food security, nutrition and sustainable development". In preparation for the upcoming session, the Population Division of UN DESA will convene an expert group meeting on this topic, to be held in New York from 16 to 17 September 2019.

The expert meeting is expected to provide substantive inputs for the preparation of the reports of the Secretary-General on the special theme of the fifty-third session of the Commission on Population and Development. In particular, the meeting will result in draft recommendations on ways in which the Commission can contribute to the international dialogue on the issues.

Documents

Organization of work

Monday, 16 September 2019
10:00 - 10:15	Session I: Opening of the meeting John Wilmoth, Director, Population Division/DESA [opening remarks]
10:15 - 11:30	Session II: Setting the stage: Trends, concepts, definitions, and data sources
Moderator: Sandile Similane, UNFPA Nancy Aburto, FAO, Overview of food security and nutrition concepts; hunger and food security indicators: trends and data sources [presentation] Ruben Grajeda, WHO AM/PAHO (video link), Nutrition indicatiors: trends and data sources [presentation] Frank Swiaczny, Population Division/DESA, Demographic megatrends and global population growth [presentation]
11:45 - 1:00	Session III: Food security and population change
a. Food security, growth, consumption and sustainability Moderator: Sara Hertog, Population Division/DESA Lorenzo Bellu, FAO, Growth and consumption trends, projections of food and agriculture [presentation] Hugo Valin, IIASA, Pathways toward sustainable land use and food systems [paper] [presentation] Marco Springmann, Oxford University, Health and nutritional aspects of sustainable diet strategies and their association with environmental impacts [paper] [presentation]
3:00 - 4:15	III. a. Continued Moderator: Astra Bonini, Division for Sustainable Development Goals/DESA Pierre Boileau, UNEP, Environmental and health impacts of food systems: Assessment by the sixth Global Environment Outlook [presentation] Cynthia Rosenzweig, NASA-Goddard, Food security findings from IPCC Special Report on Climate change and land [presentation] Prajal Pradhan, Potsdam Institute for Climate Research, Climate change and food security, highlighting urban food system and regional specificity [paper] [presentation]
4:30 - 6:00	b. Food security, population movements and settlement patterns Moderator: Clare Menozzi, Population Division/DESA Sara Savastano, IFAD, Rural transformation and creating opportunities for rural youth [presentation] Lorenzo Bellu, FAO, Population dynamics, rural transformation, rural employment, rural urban linkages [presentation] Alan de Brauw, IFPRI, Relationships between migration and food security [paper] [presentation]
Tuesday, 17 September 2019
10:00 - 11:00	Session IV: Nutrition and population health a. Hunger and undernutrition Moderator: Karoline Schmid, Population Division/DESA Mawuli Sablah, UNICEF, Causes and impacts of undernutrition over the life course [presentation] Anneka Knutsson, UNFPA, Nutrition and reproductive health [presentation]
11:15 - 1:00	b. Obesity and overweight Moderator: Paul Skoczylas, WFP Leendert Maarten Nederveen, WHO AM/PAHO (video link), Trends, causes, and consequences of overweight and obesity [presentation] Simon Barquera, Instituto Nacional de Salud Publica (Mexico), Double burden of obesity and undernutrition in Latin America [paper] [presentation] Corinna Hawkes, City University of London (video link), Policies and actions to address obesity [presentation] c. Food systems, health and sustainable diets Nancy Aburto, FAO, Food systems, health and sustainable diets [presentation]
3:00 - 4:00	Session V: Regional perspectives Moderator: Jorge Bravo, Population Division/DESA Namukolo Covic, IFPRI, Food security and nutrition in Africa [presentation] Sahar Fawzy Gad Elsonbaty, Ministry of Health, Egypt, Population, nutrition and sustainable development in Egypt [paper] [presentation]
4:15 - 5:30	Session VI: Discussion and recommendations for key messages to the CPD
5:30 - 5:45	Session VII: Closing

Monday, 16 September 2019

10:00 - 10:15

Session I: Opening of the meeting

John Wilmoth, Director, Population Division/DESA [opening remarks]

10:15 - 11:30

Session II: Setting the stage: Trends, concepts, definitions, and data sources

Moderator: Sandile Similane, UNFPA
Nancy Aburto, FAO, Overview of food security and nutrition concepts; hunger and food security indicators: trends and data sources [presentation]
Ruben Grajeda, WHO AM/PAHO (video link), Nutrition indicatiors: trends and data sources [presentation]
Frank Swiaczny, Population Division/DESA, Demographic megatrends and global population growth [presentation]

11:45 - 1:00

Session III: Food security and population change

a. Food security, growth, consumption and sustainability
- Moderator: Sara Hertog, Population Division/DESA
- Lorenzo Bellu, FAO, Growth and consumption trends, projections of food and agriculture [presentation]
- Hugo Valin, IIASA, Pathways toward sustainable land use and food systems [paper] [presentation]
- Marco Springmann, Oxford University, Health and nutritional aspects of sustainable diet strategies and their association with environmental impacts [paper] [presentation]

3:00 - 4:15

III. a. Continued
- Moderator: Astra Bonini, Division for Sustainable Development Goals/DESA
- Pierre Boileau, UNEP, Environmental and health impacts of food systems: Assessment by the sixth Global Environment Outlook [presentation]
- Cynthia Rosenzweig, NASA-Goddard, Food security findings from IPCC Special Report on Climate change and land [presentation]
- Prajal Pradhan, Potsdam Institute for Climate Research, Climate change and food security, highlighting urban food system and regional specificity [paper] [presentation]

4:30 - 6:00

b. Food security, population movements and settlement patterns
- Moderator: Clare Menozzi, Population Division/DESA
- Sara Savastano, IFAD, Rural transformation and creating opportunities for rural youth [presentation]
- Lorenzo Bellu, FAO, Population dynamics, rural transformation, rural employment, rural urban linkages [presentation]
- Alan de Brauw, IFPRI, Relationships between migration and food security [paper] [presentation]

Tuesday, 17 September 2019

10:00 - 11:00

Session IV: Nutrition and population health

a. Hunger and undernutrition
- Moderator: Karoline Schmid, Population Division/DESA
- Mawuli Sablah, UNICEF, Causes and impacts of undernutrition over the life course [presentation]
- Anneka Knutsson, UNFPA, Nutrition and reproductive health [presentation]

11:15 - 1:00

b. Obesity and overweight
- Moderator: Paul Skoczylas, WFP
- Leendert Maarten Nederveen, WHO AM/PAHO (video link), Trends, causes, and consequences of overweight and obesity [presentation]
- Simon Barquera, Instituto Nacional de Salud Publica (Mexico), Double burden of obesity and undernutrition in Latin America [paper] [presentation]
- Corinna Hawkes, City University of London (video link), Policies and actions to address obesity [presentation]

c. Food systems, health and sustainable diets
- Nancy Aburto, FAO, Food systems, health and sustainable diets [presentation]

3:00 - 4:00

Session V: Regional perspectives

Moderator: Jorge Bravo, Population Division/DESA
Namukolo Covic, IFPRI, Food security and nutrition in Africa [presentation]
Sahar Fawzy Gad Elsonbaty, Ministry of Health, Egypt, Population, nutrition and sustainable development in Egypt [paper] [presentation]

4:15 - 5:30

Session VI: Discussion and recommendations for key messages to the CPD

5:30 - 5:45

Session VII: Closing

Selected background readings

Programme of Action of the 1994 International Conference on Population and Development
Transforming our world: the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development (A/RES/70/1)
Report of the Secretary-General on Agriculture, food security and nutrition (A/74/237)
The State of Food Security and Nutrition in the World 2019
Future of Food and Agriculture: Alternative Pathways to 2050
Global Environmental Outlook 6
Global Report on Food Crises 2019
2019 Rural Development Report: Creating opportunities for rural youth
Climate Change and Land

Commission on Population and Development, fifty-second session (2019)

MVICENTE2 — Wed, 09 Jan 2019 20:02:00 +0000

Monday, 01 April 2019 - 10:00am to Friday, 05 April 2019 - 6:00pm

Review and appraisal of the Programme of Action of the International Conference on Population and Development and its contribution to the follow-up and review of the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development

Members of the Commission

Bureau members

H.E. Mr. Courtenay Rattray, (Jamaica) - Latin American and Caribbean Group (GRULAC) (Chair)
Ms. Yuliana Angelova (Bulgaria) - Eastern-European Group (Vice-Chair)
Mr. René Lauer, (Luxembourg) - Western European and Others Group (WEOG) (Vice-Chair)
Mr. Saidu Nallo, (Sierra Leone) - African Group (Vice-Chair)
Ms. Leila C. Lora-Santos, (Philippines) - Asia-Pacific Group (Vice-Chair)

Report of the Commission on its fifty-second session

Resolutions and decisions

Draft declaration on the occasion of the twenty-fifth anniversary of the International Conference on Population and Development (E/CN.9/2019/L.3)
Special theme for the fifty-fourth session of the Commission on Population and Development in 2021 (E/CN.9/2019/L.5)
Provisional agenda for the fifty-third session of the Commission (E/CN.9/2019/L.2)

Country statements after adoption of the political declaration

Opening statements

Ms. Amina J. Mohammed, Deputy Secretary-General
H.E. Ms. Ambassador Inga Rhonda King, President of ECOSOC
Ms. Natalia Kanem, Executive Director, 51�Թ� Population Fund
Mr. Liu Zhenmin, Under-Secretary-General for Economic and Social Affairs as delivered by Ms. Maria-Francesca Spatolisano Assistant Secretary-General for Policy Coordination and Inter-Agency Affairs

Keynote statement

Ms. Ashley Judd, UNFPA Goodwill Ambassador