Workshop on prospects for fertility decline in high fertility countries

MSTOCKTO — Fri, 03 May 2019 18:41:00 +0000

Monday, 09 July 2001 - 10:00am to Wednesday, 11 July 2001 - 6:00pm

Overview

The past four decades have witnessed tremendous changes in fertility levels in developing countries. Many countries have recorded dramatic declines in total fertility rates and in many others fertility has started to decline. Despite those trends, there remain 48 countries that have fertility levels above 5 children per woman. In Africa alone, the countries that have not yet embarked on their fertility transition account for over a fifth of the population of the continent.

There is broad agreement about the conditions that favour the onset of fertility transition. Those include general socio-economic development, decline in mortality, improvement in female education, changing demand for children, diffusion of new ideas and strong government policies and programmes. However, there is no consensus regarding the specific conditions that need to be present for the transition to begin. Among countries that have begun their fertility transition there exist a variety of circumstances that challenge existing theories of fertility transition and defy simple characterization of the conditions that lead to fertility decline. Thus, determining the prospects for fertility decline for the current high fertility countries requires an examination of the specific conditions in those countries.

The Population Division of the 51�Թ� is organizing a Workshop on the Prospects for Fertility Decline in High Fertility Countries from 9-11 July 2001 at the 51�Թ� Headquarters in New York. Researchers from 14 different countries will meet to investigate the conditions that hinder or facilitate fertility decline, to provide insights into the prospects for decline and to indicate policy measures that may facilitate the onset of fertility decline. Five young researchers from Togo, Burkina Faso, Morocco, Cote D’Ivoire and the Democratic Republic of the Congo will also attend the Workshop as part of the Out-Reach Programme of the Population Division.

Documents

Organization of work

Monday, 9 July 2001

10:00 AM-1:00 PM

Morning session

I. Opening of the meeting

Joseph Chamie, Director, Population Division

II. Review of demographic trends in high fertility countries

Population Division, 51�Թ�. The demographic situation in high fertility countries

III. Contexts for fertility decline

Paulina Adebusoye (Nigeria). Socio-cultural factors affecting fertility in sub-saharan Africa.

3:00 PM-6:00 PM

Afternoon session

Jean-Pierre Guengant (France) and John F. May (Belgium). Impact of the proximate determinants on the future course of fertility in sub-Saharan Africa.
Francis Dodoo (Ghana). Fertility preferences and contraceptive use: a profitable nexus for understanding the prospects for fertility decline in Africa.
Jacob Adetunji (Nigeria). Mistimed and unwanted childbearing in the course of fertility

Tuesday, 10 July 2001

10:00 AM-1:00 PM

Morning session

Samson Wasao (Kenya). A Comparative analysis of the socio-economic correlates of fertility in Cameroon and the Central African Republic

IV. Fertility trends: A comparative perspective

Soukeynatou Fall (Senegal) and Pierre Ngom (Kenya). Fertility decline in Francophone Africa: recent trends and future prospects
Eltigani Eltigani (Sudan). Levels and trends of fertility in Oman and Yemen

3:00 PM-6:00 PM

Afternoon session

Victor Agadjanian (USA) and Ndola Prata (USA). Trends in Angola’s fertility
Akim Mturi (Tanzania) and Andrew Hinde (United Kingdom). Fertility levels and differentials in Tanzania
James Ntozi (Uganda) and Fred E. Ahimbisibwe (Uganda). Prospects of fertility decline in the face of HIV/AIDS in Uganda

Wednesday, 11 July 2001

10:00 AM-1:00 PM

Morning session

Muyiwa Oladosu (Nigeria). Prospects for fertility decline in Nigeria: comparative analysis of the 1990 and 1999 NDHS data
David Shapiro (USA) and B. Oleko Tambashe. Fertility in the Democratic Republic of the Congo
Zeba Sathar (Pakistan). Fertility decline in Pakistan: past, present and future

3:00 PM-6:00 PM

Afternoon session

Christine Ouedraogo (Burkina Faso. Fertility decline in rural Africa: some indications for analysis of change

V. Panel

VI. Closing

Background paper

Demographic Situation in High Fertility Countries

Contributed papers

Paulina Makinwa-Adebusoye. Sociocultural Factors Affecting Fertility in Sub-Saharan Africa (UN/POP/PFD/2001/2)
J-P Guengant and J. F. May. Impact of the Proximate Determinants on the Future Course of Fertility in...(UN/POP/PFD/2001/3)
F. Ni-A Dodoo. Fertility Preferences and Contraceptive Use: A Profitable Nexus for Understanding ...(UN/POP/PFD/2001/4)
Jacob Adetunji. Mistimed and Unwanted Childbearing in the Course of Fertility Transition (UN/POP/PFD/2001/5)
S. W. Wasao. A Comparative Analysis of the Socioeconomic Correlates of Fertility in Cameroon and ... (UN/POP/PFD/2001/6)
S Fall and P Ngom. Baisse de la Fécondité en Afrique Francophone Tendances Récentes et Futures (UN/POP/PFD/2001/7)
Eltigani E. Eltigani. Levels and Trends of Fertility in Oman and Yemen (UN/POP/PFD/2001/8)
Victor Agadjanian and Ndola Prata. Trends in Angola’s Fertility (UN/POP.PFD/2001/9)
Akim J. Mturi and Andrew Hinde. Fertility Levels and Differentials in Tanzania (UN/POP/PFD/2001/10)
J P.M. Ntozi and F E. Ahimbisibwe. Prospects for Fertility Decline in the Face of HIV/AIDS in Uganda (UN/POP.PFD/2001/11)
M. Oladosu. Prospects for Fertility Decline in Nigeria: Comparative Analysis of the 1990 and 1999...(UN/POP.PFD/2001/12)
David Shapiro and B. Oleko Tambashe. Fertility in the Democratic Republic of Congo (UN/POP/PFD/2001/13)
Zeba A. Sathar. Fertility in Pakistan: Past, Present and Future (UN/POP/PFD/2001/14)
Christine Ouedraogo. Fécondité en Milieu Rural Africain : Repères pour L´analyse des Changements (UN/POP/PFD/2001/15)

tags:

2001

Workshop

Fertility

Categories:

Workshop

Fertility

Commission on Population and Development, thirty-fourth session (2001)

MSTOCKTO — Tue, 22 Jan 2019 21:06:00 +0000

Monday, 02 April 2001 - 10:00am to Friday, 06 April 2001 - 6:00pm

Population, environment and development

Bureau members

Mr. Makoto Atoh (Japan) - Asia-Pacific Group (Chair)
Mr. José Roberto Andino Salazar (El Salvador) - Latin American and Caribbean Group (GRULAC) (Vice-Chair)
Mr. Antonio Golini (Italy) - Western European and Others Group (WEOG) (Vice-Chair)
Mr. Jacques Van Zuydam (South Africa) - African Group (Vice-Chair)
Ms. Gediminas Šerkšnys (Lithuania) - Eastern-European Group (Vice-Chair)