Population Division - Mortality

Technical Advisory Group on COVID-19 Mortality Assessment

MLAI9 — Tue, 01 Jun 2021 14:30:00 +0000

Monday, 01 February 2021 - 9:45am

Overview

The 51�Թ� Department of Economic and Social Affairs (UN DESA) and the World Health Organization (WHO) created the Technical Advisory Group on COVID-19 Mortality Assessment in February 2021.

The Group brings together over 30 experts in demography, epidemiology and statistics from around the world, representing national statistical offices, ministries of health, and the academic community. Additionally, over 30 persons representing 51�Թ� agencies and partners, academia and the private sector, participate in the Group as observers.  

The Technical Advisory Group acts as an advisory body to WHO, UN DESA and 51�Թ� Member States in order to obtain accurate estimates of numbers of deaths attributable to the direct and indirect impacts of the pandemic.

Opening remarks of Mr. Elliott Harris, Assistant Secretary-General for Economic Development and Chief Economist

Working groups

There are currently five working groups for the TAG. These are:

Global mortality estimates including COVID-19 (concept note)
- COVID-19 Excess Mortality Estimates and Country Consultation Process FAQs
- WHO COVID-19 Excess Mortality Methods Summary
Use of surveys and censuses to fill data gaps (concept note)
Death registration and reporting systems: Lessons from the pandemic (concept note)
Summary metrics of the toll in lives lost (concept note)
Inequality in COVID-19 mortality between and within countries (concept note)

Member biographies

Terms of reference

tags:

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Mortality

Categories:

Mortality

Population

Levels and Trends in Child Mortality: 2020 Report

MSTOCKTO — Wed, 09 Sep 2020 19:31:00 +0000

On 9 September 2020, the 51�Թ� Inter-agency Group for Child Mortality Estimation (IGME) released the latest estimates for child mortality, jointly developed by UNICEF, the World Health Organization (WHO), the Population Division of the 51�Թ� Department of Economic and Social Affairs (UN DESA) and the World Bank Group.

The report documents remarkable progress in child survival over the past three decades. The global number of deaths among children under the age of five dropped from 12.5 million in 1990 to 5.2 million in 2019, the lowest level on record.

However, the report reminds us that we are still far from ending preventable deaths of newborns and children under five years of age in conformity with Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) 3.2. If current trends continue, 53 countries will not be able to meet the under-five mortality SDG target (at least as low as 25 deaths per 1,000 live births) and more than 60 countries are falling behind in achieving the neonatal mortality target (at least as low as 12 deaths per 1,000 live births) by 2030.

Further, the report warns that the COVID-19 pandemic could reverse decades of progress toward eliminating preventable child deaths, highlighting the need for urgent action to restore and improve childbirth services and antenatal and postnatal care for mothers and babies.

"The new report demonstrates the ongoing progress worldwide in reducing child mortality,” said John Wilmoth, Director of the Population Division of UN DESA. “While the report highlights the negative effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on interventions that are critical for children’s health, it also draws attention to the need to redress the vast inequities in a child's prospects for survival and good health.”

Front Page Article:

How COVID-19 is changing the world: a statistical perspective (Volume II)

MSTOCKTO — Tue, 01 Sep 2020 19:28:00 +0000

The UN’s Committee for the Coordination of Statistical Activities (CCSA) issued a new report on 1 September 2020 to meet the urgent need of timely and reliable data to respond to the COVID-19 pandemic crisis and to build back better. Volume II of the series “How COVID-19 is changing the world: a statistical perspective” uses the latest available data to map the economic, social, regional and statistical dimensions of our changing world. Compiled and edited by UNICEF and UN DESA’s Statistics and Population Divisions, the report’s second volume updates and expands on the various global, regional and thematic trends identified in the first volume, which was released in May 2020.

Front Page Article:

World Mortality 2019

MSTOCKTO — Thu, 06 Feb 2020 19:02:00 +0000

worldmortality2019_highlights_cover.jpg

World Mortality 2019 - Highlights Cover Image

This Highlights assesses the extent of improvements in survival over the 25 years that have passed since the International Conference on Population and Development (ICPD) and monitors progress towards the achievement of the related goals and targets of the Programme of Action and its contribution to the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development.

Front Page Article:

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Front Page Articles Columns:

Third Column

Link for Front Page Columns:

/development/desa/pd/sites/www.un.org.development.desa.pd/file…

Symposium on Health and Mortality

MSTOCKTO — Wed, 13 Nov 2019 21:33:00 +0000

Wednesday, 19 November 1997 - 10:00am to Saturday, 22 November 1997 - 6:00pm

Brussels, 19-22 November 1997

In collaboration with Population and Family Study Centre (CBGS) & Flemish Scientific Institute (Brussels)

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Health

Mortality

Workshop on HIV/AIDS and adult mortality in developing countries

MSTOCKTO — Fri, 03 May 2019 18:35:00 +0000

Monday, 08 September 2003 - 10:00am to Saturday, 13 September 2003 - 6:00pm

Overview

The Workshop on HIV/AIDS and Adult Mortality in Developing Countries, that the Population Division will hold at 51�Թ� Headquarters from 8 to 13 September 2003, is a unique combination of a technical meeting and a training activity for African population specialists working in the area of HIV/AIDS in some of the countries most affected by the epidemic. The Workshop is one of the main components of the Development Account Training programme on the Demographic Impact of AIDS in Africa. About 20 trainees, most of whom are working currently in national statistical offices and or in the AIDS coordination bodies of African countries, will attend the Workshop. The objectives of this training activity are to give African trainees a good understanding of the broad demographic aspects of the HIV/AIDS epidemic, including methodological and data quality issues, and to make them aware of the crucial importance of adopting effective ways to communicate the results of research on population and HIV/AIDS.

Documents

Organization of work

Part I: Technical discussions
Monday, 8 September
9:30 a.m. – 12:00 p.m.	I. Opening of the workshop II. Adult mortality trends and their measurement Mortality in the world: an overview Presenter: Francois Pelletier Adult mortality in the developing world: what we know and how we know it Presenter: Kenneth Hill
1:30 p.m. – 3:30 p.m.	III. The AIDS epidemic and its impact A history of the HIV/AIDS epidemic with emphasis on Africa Presenter: Nicholas Grassly The impact of HIV/AIDS on mortality Presenter: Cheryl Sawyer
4:00 p.m. – 6:00 p.m.	IV. Regional overviews of mortality trends and the impact of HIV/AIDS Adult mortality in the era of HIV/AIDS: Sub-Saharan Africa Presenter: Sam Clark Adult mortality in the era of HIV/AIDS: The Arab countries of Western Asia and Northern Africa Presenter: Samir Farid
Tuesday, 9 September
10:00 a.m. – 12:00 p.m.	IV. Regional overviews of mortality trends and the impact of HIV/AIDS - continued Adult mortality in the era of HIV/AIDS: Asia Presenter: Jacqueline Desbarats Adult mortality in the era of HIV/AIDS: Latin America and the Caribbean Presenter: Eduardo Arriaga Years of life expectancy lost to AIDS in the Americas Presenter: Manuel Vidaurre
1:30 p.m. – 3:30 p.m.	V. HIV/AIDS and women Measuring and estimating maternal mortality in the era of HIV/AIDS Presenter: Kenneth Hill HIV/AIDS and women Presenter: Carolyn Hannan
4:00 p.m. – 6:00 p.m.	VI. HIV/AIDS and children Orphans and AIDS in sub-Saharan Africa Presenter: Nicholas Grassly Measuring child mortality in AIDS-affected countries Presenter: Mary Mahy The effect of HIV on child mortality trends in sub-Saharan Africa Presenter: Sian Floyd
Wednesday, 10 September
10:00 a.m. – 12:00 p.m.	VII. Projecting mortality in the era of AIDS The 51�Թ� approach to the projection of HIV/AIDS and its impact on mortality Presenter: Thomas Buettner The future of adult mortality under the AIDS threat: estimating and projecting incidence; projecting mortality with HIV/AIDS Presenter: Peter O. Way
1:30 p.m. – 3:30 p.m.	VIII. The development and policy dimensions of HIV/AIDS The HIV/AIDS epidemic and its social and economic implications Presenter: Victor Gaigbe-Togbe National responses to HIV/AIDS: A review of progress Presenter: Patience Stephens
4:00 p.m. – 6:00 p.m.	IX. Raising public awareness about HIV/AIDS Raising public awareness about HIV/AIDS in newspapers Presenter: Felicity Barringer, New York Times Raising public awareness about HIV/AIDS in television news Presenter: Richard Roth, CNN Raising public awareness about HIV/AIDS in the media Presenter: Susan Markham, DPI
Thursday, 11 September
10:00 a.m. – 12:00 p.m	X. International responses to HIV/AIDS The role of UNDP in the international responses to HIV/AIDS Presenter: Monica Sharma The role of WHO in the international responses to HIV/AIDS Presenter: WHO representative (not confirmed)
1:30 p.m. – 3:00 p.m.	XI. The Internet and HIV/AIDS Internet tools for HIV/AIDS research Presenter: Armindo Miranda
3:30 p.m. – 5:30 p.m.	XII. Overview of lessons learned during the workshop knowledge and limits about the HIV/AIDS epidemic panel
5:30 p.m. – 6:00 p.m.	XIII. Conclusions of Part I of the workshop Rapporteur XIV. Closing remarks on Part I of the workshop
Part II: Country-Level discussions on follow-up
Friday, 12 September
9:30 a.m. – 11:00 a.m.	I. Making the demographic perspective count in the fight against HIV/AIDS: opportunities and constraints at country level Presenter: Armindo Miranda II. The UN Statistics Division – support for demographic and social statistics at national level Presenter: Jeremiah Banda
11:15 a.m. – 12:30 p.m.	III. The role of the UNFPA field offices in Africa Presenter: Akinyele Dairo
2:00 p.m. – 3:30 p.m.	Country presentations Botswana Eritrea Ghana Kenya Lesotho
4:00 p.m. – 5:30 p.m	Country presentations - continued Liberia Mali Namibia Nigeria Democratic Republic of Congo
Saturday, 13 September
10:00 a.m. – 12:00 p.m.	Country presentations - continued Sierra Leone South Africa Swaziland Uganda Zimbabwe
2:00 p.m. – 4:30 p.m.	IV. Summary of the country discussions and specific steps for follow-up
4:30 p.m – 5:00 pm	V. Closing of the workshop

Technical papers

Kenneth Hill. Adult mortality in the developing world: what we know and how we know it (UN/POP/MORT/2003/1)
UNAIDS and WHO. A history of the HIV/AIDS epidemic with emphasis on Africa (UN/POP/MORT/2003/2)
Pierre Ngom and Samuel Clark. Adult mortality in the era of HIV/AIDS: sub-Saharan Africa (UN/POP/MORT/2003/3)
Samir Farid. Adult mortality in the era of HIV/AIDS: The Arab countries of Western Asia and Northern Africa (UN/POP/MORT/2003/4)
Jacqueline Desbarats. Adult mortality in the era of HIV/AIDS: Asia (UN/POP/MORT/2003/5)
Eduardo Arriaga. Adult mortality in the era of HIV/AIDS: Latin America and the Caribbean (UN/POP/MORT/2003/6)
Manuel Vidaurre, Enrique Loyola, Jaume Canela-Soler, John Silvi and Carlos Castillo-Salgado. Years of life expectancy lost to AIDS in the Americas (UN/POP/MORT/2003/7)
Wendy Graham and Julia Hussein. Measuring and estimating maternal mortality in the era of HIV/AIDS (UN/POP/MORT/2003/8)
Nicholas C. Grassly and Ian M. Timaeus. Orphans and AIDS in sub-Saharan Africa (UN/POP/MORT/2003/9)
Basia Zaba, Milly Marston and Sian Floyd. The effect of HIV on child mortality trends in sub-Saharan Africa (UN/POP/MORT/2003/10)
Peter O. Way. The future of adult mortality under the AIDS threat: estimating and projecting incidence; projecting mortality with HIV/AIDS (UN/POP/MORT/2003/11)
Population Division. The HIV/AIDS epidemic and its social and economic implications (UN/POP/MORT/2003/12)
Population Division. National responses to the HIV/AIDS: A review of progress (UN/POP/MORT/2003/13)
Population Division. The impact of HIV/AIDS on mortality (UN/POP/MORT/2003/14)
Mary Mahy, UNICEF. Measuring child mortality in AIDS-affected countries (UN/POP/MORT/2003/15)
Carolyn Hannan. Women and HIV/AIDS (UN/POP/MORT/2003/16)

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Expert group meeting on current population issues in the estimation of adult mortality

MSTOCKTO — Fri, 03 May 2019 14:19:00 +0000

Thursday, 26 October 2006 - 10:00am to Friday, 27 October 2006 - 5:00pm

Overview

The Expert Group Meeting on Adult Mortality convened by the Population Division provided an opportunity to discuss ongoing activities in other institutions and to obtain feedback on the work carried out by the Population Division. As mortality levels continue to decrease in most countries of the world, deaths become increasingly concentrated at older ages and it becomes more pressing to estimate mortality in adult ages with accuracy. In addition, as the AIDS epidemic continues to expand, accounting for its effect on adult mortality is essential. These are some of the issues discussed by the Expert Group Meeting, as reflected in this report.

Documents

Organization of work

Thursday, 26 October 2006
13:30-17:30	Afternoon session I. Opening of the meeting Ms. Hania Zlotni, UN Population Division II. Overview of the project Mr. John Wilmoth, UN Population Division III. Brief summary of mortality estimation activities Participants (one per institution) are asked to provide a brief overview of work and a statement of priorities in the area of mortality estimation from the perspective of their home institutions. IV. Current estimates of adult or overall mortality a) Summary of data and method i. Ms. Mie Inoue, World Health Organization. ii. Ms. Cheryl Sawyer, UN Population Division b) Mr. Kirill Andreev, Ms. Cheryl Sawyer. Comparison of estimates V. UN and WHO relational mortality models. a) Ms. Mie Inoue. Presentation of WHO model b) Mr. John Wilmoth. Presentation of UN model c) Mr. Vladimir Canudas-Romo. Comparison of two models
Friday, 27 October 2006
8:30-12:00	Morning session VI. Estimating adult mortality using incomplete vital. Registration data a) Mr. Ken Hill. Evaluating the validity of indirect estimates of adult mortality b) Ms. Danzhen You. Simulation analysis of death distribution methods (DDM) c) Ms. Mila Andreeva. Comparison of data sources for DDM estimation d) Mr. John Wilmoth. Toward a methods protocol for DDM estimation VII. Database development. a) Mr. Kirill Andreev, Ms. Cheryl Sawyer. Database design and data processing b) Mr. John Wilmoth. Collaboration and implementation
13:30-17:00	Afternoon session. VIII. Focus on selected regions and countries a) Mr. Ayaga Bawah. Sub-Saharan Africa b) Ms. France Meslé. Former USSR and Eastern Europe c) Ms. Cheryl Sawyer. Other examples IX. Approaches to modelling AIDS mortality a) Mr. Thomas Buettner. Epidemiological models and simulation b) Mr. Ayaga Bawah, Mr. John Wilmoth. Model life tables and relational models X. Concluding remarks and future directions Mr. Jacques Vallin

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Expert group meeting on health, mortality and development

MSTOCKTO — Thu, 02 May 2019 19:29:00 +0000

Tuesday, 10 November 2009 - 10:00am to Thursday, 12 November 2009 - 5:00pm

Overview

The purpose of the meeting was twofold. First, in preparation for the forty-third session of the Commission on Population and Development, the meeting brought together experts and officials of inter-governmental organizations to discuss the challenges in combating the major causes of death and improving health, including consideration of how to strengthen health systems.

Second, building upon earlier 51�Թ� Coordination Meetings on the Estimation of Adult Mortality held in 2006 and 2008, the meeting focused on methodological issues in the estimation of adult mortality and initiated a comparison and review of adult mortality estimates for selected countries as produced by different institutions. The issues and recommendations discussed during the meeting are reflected in this report.

Documents

Organization of work

Tuesday, 10 November 2009
10:00-12:30	Session 1: Health
	Moderator: Philip Guest, Assistant Director, Population Division/DESA
	Hania Zlotnik, Director, Population Division. Opening remarks
	1. Global burden of disease and disease control priorities
	Colin Mathers, World Health Organization. Global burden of disease and risk factors Dean Jamison, IHME, University of Washington and Prabhat Jha, University of Toronto. The disease control priorities project Discussion and questions
14:00-17:00	2. Health systems and financing of global health
	Paolo Piva, World Health Organization. Primary health care reforms: Aligning health systems to needs and expectations Andre Medici, World Bank. Reforming health systems for development Discussion and questions
	3. Reproductive health
	Linda Bartlett, Johns Hopkins University. Why isn’t safe motherhood a reality for all pregnant women? Discussion and questions
Wednesday, 11 November 2009
9:00-13:00	4. Infectious and parasitic diseases
	Ramanan Laxminarayan, Princeton University. Prevention and treatment of infectious and parasitic diseases Peter J. Hotez, George Washington University Medical Center. The development impact of the neglected tropical diseases Discussion and questions
	5. Chronic and degenerative diseases
	Prakash Shetty, University of Southampton. Nutrition, lifestyles, obesity and chronic diseases Thomas A. Gaziano, Harvard Medical School. The global burden of chronic diseases Prabhat Jha, University of Toronto. Global mortality from tobacco Discussion and questions Philip Guest, Assistant Director, Population Division. Summary and concluding remarks
14:30-17:30	Session 2: Adult mortality
	Moderator: François Pelletier, Chief, Mortaity Section, Population Division/DESA
	Francois Pelletier, Chief, Mortality Section, Population Division. Overview
	6. Methodological aspects to the estimation of adult mortality
	Mie Inoue, World Health Organization. Overview of procedures used by WHO to generate life tables at the country level Julie Knoll Rajaratnam, IHME, University of Washington. Evaluating methods to estimate the completeness of death registration Haidong Wang, IHME, University of Washington. An Improved Model Life Table System: Semi-parametric Method Julie Knoll Rajaratnam, IHME, University of Washington. Measuring adult mortality using sibling survival: A new analytical method and new results for 44 countries, 1974-2006 Discussion and questions
Thursday, 12 November 2009
9:30-12:30	7. A review of adult mortality estimates at the country level
	Representatives of WHO, IHME, the Population Division and others. Discussion will focus on adult mortality estimates by sex for selected countries.
14:00-17:00	8. Next steps and concluding remarks
	François Pelletier, Chief, Mortality Section, Population Division.

* See report.

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Expert group meeting on mortality crises: conflicts, violence, famine, natural disasters and the growing burden of non-communicable diseases

MSTOCKTO — Thu, 02 May 2019 19:06:00 +0000

Monday, 14 November 2011 - 10:00am to Tuesday, 15 November 2011 - 5:00pm

Overview

The Population Division of the 51�Թ� Department of Economic and Social Affairs organized an expert group meeting to address issues associated with the estimation and projection of mortality levels in context of humanitarian crises, including conflicts, violence, famine and natural disasters as well as in respect to the growing burden of noncommunicable diseases (NCDs). The meeting was held at the 51�Թ� in New York from 14 to 15 November 2011.

Participants reviewed the latest evidence of crises that cause significant rises in mortality levels and discussed to initiate how such evidence could inform the preparation of mortality estimates by the Population Division. The meeting also considered trends in mortality from NCDs with a view to informing assumptions about future mortality trends.

Documents

Organization of work

Monday, 14 November 2011
9:30-13:00	Opening session
	Hania Zlotnik, Director, Population Division. Opening remarks François Pelletier, Population Division. Introduction to mortality crisis
	Session 1: Mortality estimation in the context of conflicts,violence, famine and natural disasters
	a. Mortality estimation in the context of conflicts and violence
	Gregg Greenough, Harvard School of Public Health. Challenges in collecting reliable data from areas in conflict and measuring mortality Les Roberts, Columbia University. Mortality due to the conflict in Iraq Andrew Mack, Simon Fraser University. Mortality due to the conflict in the Democratic Republic of the Congo Discussant: Jon Pedersen, FAFO.
	Patrick Heuveline, University of California, Los Angeles. Mortality due to the conflict in Cambodia Helge Brunborg, Statistics Norway. Mortality due to the conflict in Bosnia and Herzegovina Roberto Briceño León, Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars (WWICS). Mortality due to violence in Latin America Discussion and questions
14:30-17:30	b. Mortality estimation in the context of famine and natural disasters
	Tim Dyson, London School of Economics. Famine mortality Shannon Doocy, Johns Hopkins University. Mortality patterns during the 2004 Tsunami in the Indian Ocean Gregg Greenough, Harvard School of Public Health. Patterns in injuries and mortality caused by earthquakes: evidence from the EM-DAT database Discussion and questions
	Colin Mathers, World Health Organization. The WHO approach for assessing mortality shocks: estimating additional deaths caused by conflicts and disasters Brainstorming session on methodological issues: There is a need to define best practices, harmonise tools and adopt a more standardised approach for estimating mortality in crisisaffected populations. Discussion will aim at providing a set of guidelines to develop consistent methods to generate country-level mortality estimates considering a variety of crisis contexts Moderator: Jon Pedersen, FAFO François Pelletier, Population Division . Concluding remarks
Tuesday, 15 November 2011
9:00-13:00	Session 2: The growing burden of non-communicable diseases (NCDs)
	Cheryl Sawyer, Population Division. Introduction
	a. The World Health Organization estimates
	Colin Mathers, World Health Organization. WHO data and methods for estimating incidence, prevalence and mortality for non-communicable diseases at the global, regional and country levels Colin Mathers, World Health Organization. The WHO procedure for estimating the prevalence and population attributable risk of NCD risk factors at the global, regional and country levels Discussion and questions
	b. Linking NCD risk factors to mortality
	Samuel Preston, University of Pennsylvania. The impact of tobacco use on mortality David Leon, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine. The impact of alcohol use on mortality Katherine Flegal, United States Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. The impact of obesity on mortality Discussion and questions
14:30-17:30	c. Country-level trends in NCDS and risk factors
	Youfa Wang, Johns Hopkins University. Obesity in China Flavia Andrade, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign. Diabetes in Latin America and the Caribbean Discussion and questions
	Closing session
	François Pelletier, Population Division. Concluding remarks

* See report.

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Expert group meeting on mortality: Priorities for improved survival: ICPD beyond 2014

MSTOCKTO — Thu, 02 May 2019 19:00:00 +0000

Monday, 21 October 2013 - 10:00am to Tuesday, 22 October 2013 - 5:00pm

Overview

The Population Division of the 51�Թ� Department of Economic and Social Affairs (UN DESA) organized an expert group meeting on priorities for improved survival. The meeting took place at the 51�Թ� in New York from 21 to 22 October 2013.

The Programme of Action of the International Conference on Population and Development (ICPD), adopted in Cairo in 1994, was a landmark document that affirmed the inextricable linkages between population, development and human rights. A Special Session of the 51�Թ� General Assembly would be held in September 2014 to assess the status of implementation of the Programme of Action and to renew consensus and global commitment towards its goals and objectives. This expert group meeting brought together experts to reflect on progress and challenges toward achieving the survival goals that were set out in the ICPD Programme of Action. The meeting discussed the opportunities and challenges in further reducing mortality beyond 2014 as well as in the post-2015 development agenda.

Documents

Organization of work

Monday, 21 October 2013
9:00-10:15	Joint with Expert Group Meeting on Fertility, Changing Population Trends and Development: Implications for the Future
	Opening session
	John Wilmoth, Director, Population Division. Opening remarks
	Overview of trends in mortality and fertility since ICPD
	Cheryl Sawyer, Mortality Section, Population Division. Overview of world mortality trends since ICPD Vladimira Kantorova, Fertility and Family Planning Section, Population Division. Overview of world fertility trends since ICPD
10:30-12:00	Session 1: a. Priorities for the reduction of child mortality and infectious disease mortality beyond 2014
	Barney Cohen, Population Division. Moderator
	Sara Hertog, Population Division. Decomposing global disparities in life expectancy, with an emphasis on infectious causes of death Kenneth Hill, Harvard University. Challenges and opportunities for further reductions in infant and child mortality Rene Ekpini, UNICEF. Discussant
12:00-1:00	b. Priorities in women's health
	Barney Cohen, Population Division. Moderator
	Suzanne Petroni, International Center for Research on Women. Improving the health of women and adolescents: An unfinished agenda Adrienne Germain, President Emerita, International Women’s Health Coalition. Discussant
2:30-4:00	c. Priorities for reducing non-communicable disease mortality and mortality at older ages
	Jorge Bravo, Population Division. Moderator
	Sanjay Basu, Stanford University. The changing landscape of non-communicable diseases and associated risk factors Alberto Palloni, University of Wisconsin, Madison. Longevity in the twenty-first century: How long is the tug of the past? Karen Sealey, World Health Organization. Discussant
4:15-5:45	d. Effective policy and programme approach to improve health
	Victor Gaigbe-Togbe, Population Division. Moderator
	William Dow, University of California, Berkeley. Incentivizing use of health care Rachel Nugent, University of Washington. Effective policy and programme approaches to promoting health lifestyles Jean Christophe Fotso, Concern Worldwide, U.S. Discussant
5:45-6:00	Closing session of day one
	Barney Cohen, Population Division. Moderator
Tuesday, 22 October 2013
9:00-11:00	Joint with Expert Group Meeting on fertility, changing population trends andd development: Implications for the future
	Summaries and interactive discussions
	Experts: Alberto Palloni, University of Wisconsin, Madison; and Monica Das Gupta, University of Maryland. Key challenges and opportunities for further progress in improving life Expectancy and responding to implications of fertility trends for the Global development agenda John Wilmoth, Population Division. Moderator
11:15 – 1:00	Interactive discussion
	Experts: Kirsty Newman, DFID, by videolink; and Hans Rosling, Gapminder Foundation. Perspectives on how to improve accessibility and utilization of data and evidence by policymakers Francesca Perucci, Population Division. Moderator
1:00 – 1:30	John Wilmoth, Director, Population Division. Conclusions and future directions