Population Division - Demographic dividend

Day of Eight Billion, 15 November 2022

BOUEDRAO — Tue, 25 Oct 2022 13:53:00 +0000

Tuesday, 01 November 2022 - 9:00am

On 15 November 2022, the world’s population is projected to reach 8 billion people, a milestone in human development. This unprecedented growth is due to the gradual increase in human lifespan owing to improvements in public health, nutrition, personal hygiene and medicine. It is also the result of high and persistent levels of fertility in some countries.

While it took the global population 12 years to grow from 7 to 8 billion, it will take approximately 15 years—until 2037— for it to reach 9 billion, a sign that the overall growth rate of the global population is slowing.

Countries with the highest fertility levels tend to be those with the lowest income per capita. Global population growth has therefore over time become increasingly concentrated among the world’s poorest countries, most of which are in sub-Saharan Africa. In these countries, sustained rapid population growth can thwart the achievement of the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), which remain the world’s best pathway toward a happy and healthy future.

Even though population growth magnifies the environmental impact of economic development, rising per capita incomes are the main driver of unsustainable patterns of production and consumption. The countries with the highest per capita consumption of material resources and emissions of greenhouse gas emissions tend to be those where income per capita is higher, not those where the population is growing rapidly.

Meeting the objectives of the Paris Agreement to limit global temperature rise, while achieving the SDGs, critically depends on curbing unsustainable patterns of production and consumption. Yet, slower population growth over many decades could help to mitigate the further accumulation of environmental damage in the second half of the current century.

Resources

tags:

Population

Fertility

Demographic dividend

Sustainable development

World Population Prospects

Expert group meeting on strengthening the demographic evidence base for the post-2015 development agenda

NKOSHY — Fri, 22 May 2020 15:20:00 +0000

Monday, 05 October 2015 - 10:00am to Tuesday, 06 October 2015 - 6:15pm

Overview

The 49th session of the Commission on Population and Development (CPD) will be devoted to the theme "Strengthening the demographic evidence base for the post-2015 development agenda". The 51�Թ� Population Division has convened an expert group meeting in October 2015 to inform the UN Secretary-General report to be presented at this CPD session in April 2016.

The Strengthening the Demographic Evidence Base for the Post-2015 Development Agenda expert group meeting will bring together specialists to review how the most common sources of demographic data, such as census, surveys, civil registration and vital statistics systems and administrative records, meet the needs of the 51�Թ� post-2015 development agenda. Experts will also be invited to reflect on new data sources that are becoming increasingly available for more rapid and more localized monitoring and how these new sources can complement more traditional data sources.

The meeting will identify points of intervention for strengthening the demographic evidence base throughout the data life cycle that would contribute to more relevant, effective, efficient and sustainable action-oriented development planning and monitoring, and ultimately to achieving the post-2015 development agenda.

Core questions to be discussed during the meeting include:

What are the experiences and lessons learned from demographic data collection, compilation, analysis, dissemination and utilization within the context of the MDGs?
What are the key challenges of existing data sources to fulfil the needs of the post-2015 development agenda, including in terms of baseline setting for the targets, frequency, timeliness and disaggregation of data available?
What are the recommendations on how to strengthen the demographic evidence base and what are the actions required to implement them?

Documents

Organization of work

Monday, 5 October 2015
08:45 – 09:00	Registration conference
09:00 – 10:45	Session 1. Opening of the meeting
	John Wilmoth, Population Division, 51�Թ� Department of Economic and Social Affairs (UN DESA). Introduction and objective of the meeting Dr. Mwaba Patricia Kasese-Bota, Zambia, Chairperson of the Bureau of the Commission. Introduction to the work of 49th Session of the Commission on Population and Development Francesca Perucci, Statistics Division, UN DESA. Overview of the post-2015 SDG monitoring framework [presentation] Neil Fantom, World Bank. Keynote address: Building a ‘fit-for-purpose’ demographic evidence base for the post-2015 agenda [presentation]
11:00 – 12:45	Session 2. Lessons learned from the 2010 round of censuses and planning for the 2020 round to meet the post-2015 agenda
	Margaret Mbogoni and Keiko Osaki Tomita, Statistics Division, UN DESA. Lessons learned from the 2010 round of PHC and planning for the 2020 round to meet the post-2015 development agenda [note] [presentation] Benoit Kalasa, 51�Թ� Population Fund (UNFPA). Lessons learned from the 2010 round of census and planning for the 2020 round to meet the post-2015 agenda: a global and regional perspective [presentation] Andrew Mukulu, Uganda Bureau of Statistics. Lessons from the 2010 RPHC and planning for the 2020 RPHCs [note] [presentation] C. Chandramouli, Census of India. Census of India, Lessons learnt and the way ahead [note] [presentation]
14:00 – 15:45	Session 3. Existing survey programmes and the need for new survey modules or new thematic surveys designed to “count the uncounted” in support of more effective policy interventions
	Sunita Kishor, ICF International. Strengthening the demographic data base in the post-2015 era: lessons from the DHS program [presentation] Turgay Unalan, 51�Թ� Children Fund (UNICEF). Multiple indicator cluster survey programme [presentation] Amy Tsui, John Hopkins University. Performance monitoring and accountability 2020 (PMA2020) surveys: toward SDG monitoring [note] [presentation] William Axinn, University of Michigan. International longitudinal data collection [note] [presentation]] Richard E. Bilsborrow, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill. International migration surveys, including emigration surveys [note] [presentation]
16:00 – 18:00	Session 4. Demographic evidence from civil registration systems, health information systems and other administrative data sources, including insights provided by health and demographic surveillance sites
	Adriana Skenderi, Statistics Division, UN DESA. Demographic evidence from civil registration systems [note][presentation] Carla AbouZahr, Health statistics and CRVS. Demographic evidence from civil registration and vital statistics systems, health information systems and other administrative data sources, including insights provided by health and demographic surveillance sites: health sector perspectives [note] [presentation] Michelle Weinberger, Avenir Health. Demographic evidence from family planning service statistics [note][presentation] Frencel Tingga, Commission on Filipinos Overseas. Stock estimation of Filipinos overseas [note]] [presentation]] Samuel J. Clark, University of Washington. Health and demographic surveillance systems and the post-2015 agenda [note] [presentation]
Tuesday, 6 October 2015
09:00 – 10:45	Session 5. Complementing traditional data sources with alternative acquisition, analytic and visualization approaches to ensure better utilization of data for sustainable development
	Emmanuel Letouzé, Data-Pop Alliance. Demography, meet big data; big data, meet demography: reflections on the data-rich future of population science [presentation] Robert Kirkpatrick, Global Pulse. Driving a big data revolution for sustainable development and humanitarian action [presentation] Manuel Garcia Herranz, UNICEF. uReport and mTrac experience Bruce Campbell, UNFPA. Complementing traditional data sources with alternative acquisition, analytic and visualization approaches to ensure better utilization of data for sustainable development [presentation] Alejandro M. Blei, New York University. Monitoring global urban expansion using remote sensing and a network of city-based researchers [note] [presentation] UNPD UNICEF. Crowd sourcing [presentation]
11:00 – 12:45	Session 6. Data disaggregation and utilization challenges: Prospects for the integration of multiple data sources to produce estimates for different geographical scales and time periods
	Steven Ruggles, University of Minnesota. A note on data challenges for the development agenda: Observations from IPUMS [note] [presentation] Alex de Sherbinin, Columbia University. CIESIN’s experience in mapping population and poverty [note] [presentation]] Andrew Tatem, University of Southampton. Mapping population numbers, demographics and behaviours: The WorldPop perspective [note] [presentation] Mark R. Montgomery, Population Council. Integrating demographic and spatial data for the SDGs. Analytic use of multiple data sources [presentation]
14:00 – 15:45	Session 7. Role of empirical observations and model-based estimates with uncertainty for global and country-level monitoring
	Colin Mathers, WHO. WHO's experience with maternal mortality and global health estimates [presentation] Danzhen You, UNICEF. Experience of child mortality estimates [presentation] Adrian E. Raferty, University of Washington. Estimating population and health quantities and their uncertainty from data of limited quality [note] [presentation]
16:00 – 17:00	Session 8. Summary and conclusions
	Summary of key points from each session Discussion John Wilmoth, Population Division, UN DESA. Concluding remarks

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Commission on Population and Development, forty-ninth session (2016)

MSTOCKTO — Thu, 17 Jan 2019 16:12:00 +0000

Monday, 11 April 2016 - 10:00am to Friday, 15 April 2016 - 10:00am

Strengthening the demographic evidence base for the post-2015 development agenda

Members of the Commission

Bureau members

Dr. Mwaba Patricia Kasese-Bota (Zambia) - African Group (Chair)
Mr. Ebrahim Alikhani (Iran (Islamic Republic of)) - Asia-Pacific Group (Vice-Chair)
Ms. Oana Rebedea (Romania) - Eastern-European Group (Vice-Chair)
Ms. Patricia Chemor Ruiz (Mexico) - Latin American and Caribbean Group (GRULAC) (Vice-Chair)
Ms. Nadine Skale (Germany) - Western European and Others Group (WEOG) (Vice-Chair)

List of delegations (advance unedited version) (E/CN.9/2016/INF/1)

Report of the Commission on its 49th Session

Resolutions and decisions

Provisional agenda for the fiftieth session of the Commission on Population and Development (E/CN.9/2016/L.2) Special themes for the Commission on Population and Development in 2017 and 2018 (E/CN.9/2016/L.4) Resolution: Future organization and methods of work of the Commission on Population and Development Resolution 2016/1: Strengthening the demographic evidence base for the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development
Statements delivered post-adoption
Brazil	Canada	Guyana
Holy See	Iran (Islamic Republic of)	Malaysia
Netherlands (on behalf of the EU)	Norway	Qatar [Ar] [En]
Russia	South Africa	Trinidad and Tobago
United States of America