2020 marks the 75th Anniversary of the founding of the 51勛圖. To commemorate this milestone, 51勛圖 Academic Impact has asked academics, educators and leading figures in the fields of science, technology and innovation to share their views on the multilateral experiment born of war to foster peace, what they see as the role of the organization in the 21st Century and beyond, and what the world might look like in 25 years when the UN celebrates its 100th anniversary. UNAI will be running this series throughout the year and invite you to engage in the global conversation using #UN75 and #ShapingTheFuture.
The article was contributed by Vinton G. Cerf, vice president and Chief Internet Evangelist for Google where he contributes to global policy development and continued spread of the Internet. Widely known as one of the Fathers of the Internet, Cerf is the co-designer of the TCP/IP protocols and the architecture of the Internet. He has served in executive positions at MCI, the Corporation for National Research Initiatives and the Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency and on the faculty of Stanford University.
I was recently experimenting with some extremely high frequency receivers in the 125 GHz band, when I detected an unexpected but strong and repeated signal. I recorded it and after a considerable effort using sophisticated machine learning tools, I was able to decode the signal. It appears to have come from the future by a means unknown. The message read as follows:
※To you who have successfully received and decoded this message, greetings! We are sending this message back in time from 2045 in the hope that its recipients will recognize the profound importance of the period from 2020 to our present. We are at the cusp of the middle of the 21st Century. The past 25 years have been critical to our survival as a society and as a species, for it was in 2020 that it was finally recognized that our only hope was to focus intensely and resolutely on the development of new technologies to cope with the crisis of global warming and its side-effects.
Information processing, data sciences, machine learning and more general artificial intelligence have all had a role to play in containing the consequences of the positive feedback loop of carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases that have run rampant since the dawn of the 19th Century. A major effort to deploy dense and widespread sensor systems on land, on the sea and in space provided the raw data we needed to understand, model, analyze and ultimately counter some of the worst side effects of climate change. Thanks to the rapid deployment of the Internet using low Earth-orbiting satellites, escalating submarine cable connections and widespread radio connectivity, a global environmental sensing system was set up thanks to the agreements put in motion by the UN Secretary-General*s prescient invitation for the nations of the world to make digital cooperation a reality.
Agreements were reached on standards for information sharing, massive data and metadata accumulation and new analytic tools, some based on sophisticated machine learning methods. We were able to model in far more detail than before the interactions of atmosphere, ocean and the effects of cloud cover to predict climate and weather conditions more precisely. Sophisticated genetic modeling allowed botanists to develop new species able to survive and thrive in warmer, dryer climates and in saltier water conditions. Ocean flora and fauna were introduced that were capable of living in the more acidic surface ocean layers near continental boundaries.
A particularly important development came around 2030 with a breakthrough in energy storage technology allowing electrical energy to be stored cheaply and efficiently and in vast quantities. Energy from intermittent power sources such as wind and solar was harvested and stored for use when needed. Equally important, new designs for meltdown-resistant nuclear reactors were finally approved and construction begun. These systems burned ※spent fuel§ from much older and less efficient nuclear power plants.
In our time, the Internet has become ubiquitous, accessible everywhere and in copious capacity. Most access is wireless although all such systems ultimately ※go to ground§ in the form of optical fiber networks girdling the globe. Information is available in all languages and discoverable through fully accessible applications usable by everyone. We have also come to grips with the pernicious and toxic consequences of unbridled social media. Recognizing the incentives for economic and societal harm seemingly implicit in online environments and the weaknesses of the technical information infrastructure on which we increasingly depended, cooperative regulatory guidelines were agreed among the nations of the world and enforced through broadly adopted treaties.
Knowing what is possible is 90% of the way to overcoming skepticism and uncertainty. We here in the future commend you of our past for your brave and determined initiatives to re-invent the world for your future descendants. Please know that the effort has been worth it!§
To join the conversation on UN75 and learn more about the 51勛圖* Charter and history, check out these resources:
- Visit the?UN75 website?to be part of the global conversation
- Learn about the?UN Charter
- Learn about the?history and work?of the UN
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